Tuesday, August 2, 2011

The World Will be Changing SOON.

Look up Jevon Paradox in a search engine or Wikipedia. The concept of the paradox is that as we make something more efficient (for example gas in cars), the demand for that resource goes up (we move further into the exurbs because driving is cheaper). Left to natural tendencies conservation actually makes the problem worse… UNLESS we artificially raise the prices with taxes or some other forced method.

Look up Peak Oil as above. Essentially at some point, sooner than later, we will reach the half way point on taking oil out of the ground. When we do, nothing we do will increase production and all the while demand is sky rocketing around the world. To delay this we need to raise the cost by taxes on oil, DRASTICALLY, now. If they had done is during the 90’s we may have delayed the event by perhaps a decade or two. It will happen and soon in my estimation. The ‘proofs’ are out there but are either denied or laughed at by all sides. When a barrel of oil hits $200 what does that do to the economy? I believe it will hit $400 within 3 months after the peak effectively eliminating most air travel, transportation of food and food fertilizers will sky rocket. Anyone stuck in an area that cannot produce enough food to feed itself will be in huge trouble. Any area dependent on selling excess food to anywhere else [Chile to the US, CA to everywhere] will have more food to sell locally than anyone can buy. Everything that is currently an alternative is only one because of oil that costs $2/barrel to suck out of the ground producing 21,000 man hours of work.

One barrel of oil produces 11 computers. What will computers cost at $400/barrel? Solar panels that don’t break even with tax subsidies will cost 100x times what they do now when oil costs $400/barrel. The 300 years of coal in the USA is based on cheap oil. Using peak oil scenarios there is only 30 years. The oil shale of MT,ND and CO along with Canada contains large amounts of oil but will require oil to be at least $1000/barrel to offer the same rates of return as the current sources. Life is going to change on this planet…

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